System Dynamic Analysis Implementation in Risk Management of Labour Social Security Membership Policy

Abstract

One of the challenges in overseeing an implementation of a policy is to foresee the risks that may arise with it. One may identify any risks without knowing the correlation among each element within them. This would commonly lead to a more tangled future policy making due to undesired archetypes occurrence. BPJS Ketenagakerjaan recently applied a policy to accelerate member acquisitions by adapting the Japanese Sharousi scheme. The Supervisory Board of BPJS Ketenagakerjaan ran a system dynamic model and further analyzed it, in order to capture the whole consequences of the policy implemented. Analyses of the model were elaborated in this paper. The analyses cover the correlating risk elements of the policy model. How each of them interact and influence one to another. Some simulation results were also presented. Furthermore, recommendations were made based upon the analyses.

Keywords: Modelling Analysis, Policy, Risk Management, System Thinking.